Bitcoin Price at Risk: Can BTC Hold $100K as Ethereum and Shiba Inu Crash?

The crypto market is in a tailspin, and even the titans—Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and the meme coin poster child Shiba Inu (SHIB)—are feeling the heat. With technical indicators flashing red, macroeconomic pressures piling up, and selling pressure intensifying, we’re digging into whether Bitcoin can defend the crucial $100,000 threshold, why Ethereum seems headed for a long winter, and what a so-called “targeted sellout” means for SHIB’s beleaguered holders.

• Bitcoin’s Precarious Position: Hovering near $104,000, BTC has breached its 200-day moving average, with a drop below $100,000 potentially opening the door to $97,000-$98,000.
• Ethereum’s Structural Collapse: ETH has fallen to $3,518, losing its 200-day EMA, signaling a bearish shift that could drag on for years.
• Shiba Inu’s Whale Exodus: Trading at $0.0000090, SHIB is under siege by coordinated selling from large holders, risking further declines to $0.0000080 or below.

Bitcoin’s Battle at $100K: A Make-or-Break Moment

Bitcoin, the bedrock of the cryptocurrency world, is teetering on the edge at around $104,000. After a grueling climb toward $100,000 throughout much of 2025, it’s taken a nasty hit, breaking below its 200-day moving average (MA)—a critical technical indicator that smooths out price data over the past 200 days to reveal long-term trends—at $108,000. For those new to the game, dropping below this line often signals a shift from bullish to bearish momentum, a warning sign that traders watch like hawks. If BTC can’t hold the psychologically significant $100,000 mark, the next support zones—price levels where buyers might step in to halt further declines—sit between $97,000 and $98,000. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum gauge ranging from 0 to 100 (with below 30 suggesting oversold conditions and above 70 indicating overbought), is at 35 for Bitcoin. That’s close to oversold territory, but don’t bet on a quick rebound—it simply means selling pressure might be tiring, not reversing.

Macroeconomic forces are adding fuel to the fire. Tightening liquidity—central banks pulling back on the money supply, often through rate hikes or balance sheet reductions—coupled with a broader decline in investor risk appetite, is hammering speculative assets like cryptocurrencies. We’ve seen this before; during the 2022 bear market, Bitcoin lost its 200-day MA and took months to recover, shedding over 60% of its value at one point. History doesn’t always repeat, but it sure rhymes. While long-term holders, often called “diamond hands” in crypto slang, might still cling to their stacks, the short-term outlook is as shaky as a Ponzi scheme on its last legs. Could a surprise catalyst—like fresh institutional adoption or a dovish pivot from the Federal Reserve—turn things around? Possibly, but the charts aren’t banking on it. If Bitcoin holds $100K, it might signal a flicker of hope—or just delay the inevitable.

Ethereum’s Downward Spiral: A Bear Market in Bloom?

Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency and the engine behind decentralized finance (DeFi) with its smart contract capabilities, is in even rougher shape. Trading at about $3,518 after consolidating between $3,700 and $3,800, ETH has breached its 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA)—a trendline that weights recent prices more heavily than older ones—for the first time in nine months. This isn’t a minor hiccup; it’s a structural breakdown. Support levels to watch are at $3,400 and $3,200, but there’s little evidence of buyers rushing in to scoop up the dip. With an RSI of 34, Ethereum is edging toward oversold conditions, yet rising selling volume points to capitulation—investors giving up and dumping their holdings at a loss—rather than a temporary pullback.

What’s worse, this EMA breach marks a shift from accumulation (stacking coins in anticipation of gains) to distribution (offloading positions to cut losses or take profits), potentially dragging ETH into a bearish phase that could stretch into 2026. Historically, Ethereum has endured multi-year slumps—post-2018, it languished for nearly three years before finding its footing again, spurred by DeFi and NFT booms. Could similar catalysts, like broader adoption of layer-2 scaling solutions (networks built on Ethereum to reduce fees and speed up transactions) or staking rewards from the Proof-of-Stake transition, spark a recovery? They might, but in a risk-off environment where investors are fleeing speculative bets, don’t hold your breath. Ethereum often acts as a bellwether for altcoin sentiment—when it bleeds, the broader market tends to follow. This isn’t just an ETH problem; it’s a warning for the entire crypto ecosystem.

Shiba Inu’s Whale Woes: Targeted Sellout in Action

Shiba Inu, the meme coin that once fueled dreams of overnight riches, is now a textbook case of speculative excess unraveling. Trading at a paltry $0.0000090, SHIB is clinging to a critical support zone—a price level where buying interest might stabilize things. But it’s already broken below a short-term ascending trendline (a chart pattern signaling upward momentum) and failed to reclaim resistance at $0.0000105, where selling pressure typically halts price gains. With an RSI of 33, weakness is evident, and volume analysis shows higher selling activity on price rallies—a telltale sign of larger holders, or “whales,” systematically dumping their bags on retail investors.

This “targeted sellout” exploits thin liquidity—a market state with low trading volume, where even small trades can cause outsized price swings—to offload massive positions without crashing the price too quickly. If selling persists, SHIB could slide to psychological support at $0.0000080, or even $0.0000070, accelerating a holder exodus. Meme coins like SHIB, with smaller market caps and shallower liquidity pools compared to giants like Bitcoin or Ethereum, are especially vulnerable to whale manipulation. On-chain data often reveals large wallet movements preceding these drops, though specifics for this moment aren’t confirmed. For deeper insights into the ongoing market dynamics affecting Ethereum and Shiba Inu, check out this detailed crypto market analysis. Could the “doge army” rally with fresh hype or token-burning initiatives (destroying coins to reduce supply and boost value)? Sure, but when whales decide to cash out, no amount of memes can stop the bleeding. This serves as a harsh reminder of the fragility baked into speculative tokens.

Macro Pressures: The Bigger Picture Crushing Crypto

Zooming out, the crypto market is grappling with a relentless bearish pull. Technical breakdowns across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and speculative plays like Shiba Inu are only part of the story. External pressures are tightening the vise. Liquidity constraints, driven by central bank policies—think Federal Reserve rate hikes or balance sheet reductions in 2025—are draining cheap money from the system, the kind that often fuels risky bets like cryptocurrencies. At the same time, investor risk aversion is spiking, with capital flowing out of volatile markets and into safer havens like bonds or cash. Crypto’s correlation with traditional risk assets, like the S&P 500, has grown in recent years, meaning when stocks sneeze, Bitcoin and friends catch a cold.

Selling volume across the board is climbing, not from fleeting panic but from genuine capitulation. Traders are cutting losses and walking away. Bitcoin maximalists might argue that BTC’s fundamentals—its decentralized architecture, capped supply of 21 million coins, and potential as an inflation hedge—remain unassailable, positioning it as a long-term safe haven even in tough times. Ethereum’s utility in powering decentralized apps and Shiba Inu’s niche as a speculative gamble also have their place in this financial revolution. Yet, the harsh reality is that short-term technical signals are screaming “sell” louder than a shady promoter hawking a fake token. Other altcoins and even stablecoins aren’t immune either—market-wide downturns spare few, amplifying the pain for leveraged players and retail investors alike.

Counterpoints and Catalysts: Is There Any Hope?

Before we paint this as a total doomsday scenario, let’s play devil’s advocate and explore potential lifelines, even if skepticism remains warranted. For Bitcoin, institutional adoption continues to simmer—think more ETFs or corporate balance sheet allocations—that could prop up demand, much like MicroStrategy’s buying sprees did in past cycles. Upcoming halving events (cutting miner rewards in half, reducing new supply) historically spark price surges, though their impact often lags. Could these offset the current bloodbath? They might, but macro headwinds could easily drown out such positives for now.

Ethereum has its own cards to play. Layer-2 networks like Arbitrum or Optimism are slashing transaction costs, potentially driving broader DeFi adoption. Staking yields post-merge (Ethereum’s shift to Proof-of-Stake) offer passive income for holders, which could attract long-term investors. Still, with sentiment this sour, these developments might not move the needle until risk appetite returns. Shiba Inu, for all its flaws, thrives on community-driven chaos—token burns or viral marketing could ignite short-lived pumps. But let’s be real: meme coins are a whale’s playground, and fundamentals matter little when big players pull the plug.

While we champion decentralization and the disruptive power of blockchain to upend traditional finance, blind optimism is a fool’s errand. The market’s current state demands a clear-eyed view. Crypto often defies logic, so question every narrative—bearish or bullish—and dig into the data yourself before making moves. Volatility isn’t just a feature; it’s the only constant.

Key Takeaways: Unpacking the Crypto Chaos

• Can Bitcoin Hold the $100,000 Price Level Amid Market Turmoil?
  Bitcoin is barely hanging on at $104,000 after breaching its 200-day moving average of $108,000. A failure to hold $100,000 could drive prices to support zones at $97,000-$98,000, fueled by selling pressure and macro risks like tightening liquidity.
• Why Is Ethereum Facing a Prolonged Bearish Trend?
  Ethereum’s drop to $3,518, below its 200-day EMA, marks a shift to distribution with rising selling volume. Support at $3,400-$3,200 remains untested by buyers, suggesting a bearish phase could linger unless DeFi growth or other catalysts intervene.
• What’s Driving Shiba Inu’s Targeted Sellout by Large Holders?
  At $0.0000090, Shiba Inu is hit by coordinated whale selling, exploiting low liquidity and breaking key trendlines. With RSI at 33 and resistance at $0.0000105 out of reach, further declines to $0.0000080 or $0.0000070 are on the table.
• How Are Macroeconomic Factors Impacting the Crypto Market?
  Tightening liquidity from central bank actions and declining risk appetite are siphoning capital from speculative assets like crypto. This exacerbates bearish signals across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Shiba Inu, driving market-wide capitulation.
• Could Recovery Catalysts Save Bitcoin, Ethereum, or Shiba Inu Soon?
  Bitcoin might see support from institutional buys or halving cycles, Ethereum from layer-2 adoption, and Shiba Inu from community hype. However, current technical weakness and macro conditions cast doubt on near-term recovery.

The crypto terrain is brutal right now. Bitcoin is fighting tooth and nail to defend $100K, Ethereum is sliding into a potential multi-year slump, and Shiba Inu proves yet again that meme coins are at the mercy of whale maneuvers. As advocates for decentralization, privacy, and financial freedom, we stand by the transformative promise of blockchain—Bitcoin as sound money, Ethereum as the backbone of decentralized innovation, and even the wild speculation of tokens like SHIB filling unique niches. But let’s cut through the noise: the short-term picture is ugly. Macro forces are ruthless, technical indicators are flashing warning signs, and baseless price predictions floating around social media mislead more than they inform. Keep your focus on the fundamentals, monitor those support levels, and brace for more turbulence. Stack sats if you’ve got the stomach for it, but don’t expect a smooth ride anytime soon.