XRP Nears 2018 Price Zone as Bulls Eye Second Chance, ETF Catalysts, and Key Support at $1.10
XRP is back near its 2018 price zone, and that has bulls calling it a fresh shot at a trade many missed the first time. Whether it’s a genuine setup or just another neatly packaged crypto tease depends on one thing: can XRP hold the line, or is this just another stop on the endless hopium express?
- XRP around $1.18, back near its 2018 price area
- $1.10 support and $1.20 resistance remain the key short-term levels
- Crypto Patel says the market is offering a “second chance”
- Evernorth, Ripple, and a T. Rowe Price ETF add fresh fuel to the XRP utility narrative
At press time, XRP was trading around $1.18, up 2.5% in 24 hours, as the broader crypto market showed signs of recovery after weeks of selling pressure. For XRP holders, that price level is more than a number — it’s a psychological landmine. It sits uncomfortably close to where XRP traded back in 2018, which is exactly why some traders are treating this as a possible second bite at the apple.
The bullish case comes from a monthly XRP/USD chart shared by Crypto Patel, who argued that buyers may be getting a “second chance” at the same general zone XRP occupied years ago. His pitch is simple enough:
“If You Regret Not Buying $XRP Back In 2018… Good News. The Market Just Gave You A Second Chance.”
That framing is catchy, but it also tells you how long XRP has been stuck in the mud. After nearly eight years of sideways misery relative to that level, the setup is either an indictment of the token’s performance or a case of a coiled spring waiting for pressure to finally release. Crypto loves both stories, usually at the same time.
The chart in question is drawn on a logarithmic scale, which simply means the moves are measured in percentage terms rather than plain dollar increments. That helps long-term charts show big assets more clearly, especially when a coin has spent years exploding, crashing, and then doing absolutely nothing useful for a while. On this chart, XRP is shown from 2014 to 2032, with three historical drawdowns marked at -96.69%, -85.20%, and -51.20%. In other words: yes, XRP has had the sort of volatility that turns normal people into cautionary tales.
The key technical idea is the Strong Support Trend Line, drawn from the 2018 low through the 2022–2023 lows. In plain English, support is a price area where buyers tend to step in and stop the bleeding. Resistance is the opposite: a level where sellers show up and slap the price back down like it owes them money. Right now, XRP is sitting in what Patel labels an Accumulation Zone, meaning a range where long-term buyers may slowly build positions instead of chasing candles like caffeinated goblins.
The chart’s bigger promise is that XRP could eventually climb toward $10–$18 by 2027–2032 if the trend line continues to hold and the ecosystem keeps expanding. That is not a forecast carved into stone tablets. It’s a long-range technical projection, and those things are notorious for being either impressively prophetic or hilariously wrong. Treat it as a scenario, not a guarantee from the heavens.
Still, there’s a legitimate reason this setup has caught attention: XRP is no longer just a courtroom punchline or a relic from the last cycle. The ecosystem now has some actual moving parts. And unlike the usual “number-go-up because vibes” nonsense, some of those parts are tied to real business activity.
Evernorth is one of the more interesting pieces of that puzzle. Its CEO, Asheesh Birla, made the case that “true institutional adoption requires active utility, not passive holding.” That’s a much more honest thesis than the usual token-sales fairy dust. Institutions do not want to sit around HODLing bags for spiritual fulfillment. They want settlement, lending, yield, treasury management, compliance, and some privacy features that don’t make their legal teams reach for the oxygen masks.
Evernorth reportedly holds nearly 0.5% of XRP’s supply and is pushing XRP utility into institutional DeFi use cases, including privacy-conscious products. For readers who don’t live and breathe crypto jargon, DeFi means decentralized finance — lending, borrowing, trading, and other financial services run on blockchain rails instead of a traditional bank’s permissioned walled garden. The “institutional” part matters because the buyers here are not just retail gamblers; they’re firms, funds, and market makers that usually demand something sturdier than a meme and a dream.
That utility angle also connects to RLUSD, Ripple’s stablecoin, which may help support lending and yield strategies around the broader XRP ecosystem. Stablecoins are crypto assets designed to track a fiat currency, usually the U.S. dollar, and they’re often used as settlement tools or collateral in trading and lending. If XRP is going to matter beyond speculation, it needs more of this kind of plumbing and less of the “trust me, bro” energy that still dominates too much of crypto.
Ripple itself is also part of the bull case. Brad Garlinghouse has set a goal of $1 billion in recurring operating income by the end of 2026, and Ripple’s valuation was cited at roughly $50 billion in Q1 2026. That does not automatically translate into a moonshot for XRP, but it does matter. A strong Ripple business helps legitimize the ecosystem, even if the token price doesn’t immediately reward holders. As one line in the thesis puts it:
“A successful Ripple business strengthens the XRP ecosystem, even if the token price stays low.”
That’s a fair point, and it also exposes the obvious friction in the XRP debate. A company can be growing while the token sits there looking like it missed the memo. Crypto investors often want a neat one-to-one relationship between corporate success and token appreciation, but markets rarely work that cleanly. Sometimes the business wins first, and the token follows later. Sometimes the token pumps while the business is still figuring itself out. Sometimes both happen. And sometimes everybody just gets cooked.
The regulatory angle adds another possible catalyst. On June 12, 2026, the SEC approved T. Rowe Price’s multi-asset crypto ETF, and XRP was included in the fund’s draft list of eligible assets. That matters because a regulated crypto ETF can open the door to broader access from institutions and advisors who would rather not touch coins directly. ETF approval is not the same thing as guaranteed demand, but it does remove another layer of friction. In crypto terms, that’s real progress — even if the suits are still arriving late and pretending they invented the party.
There are other moving parts too. A potential XRPL upgrade, the growing role of AI payments, and the U.S. CLARITY Act could all influence sentiment around XRP and the broader digital asset market. None of these on their own will save a weak chart, but together they help explain why some traders are getting more constructive. The bullish thesis is no longer just “maybe this old coin will pump.” It’s more like: the price is near a major long-term support area while the underlying ecosystem is slowly becoming more functional.
That said, the bearish case is not exactly exotic. It’s staring everyone in the face.
First, XRP has already had years to prove itself, and yet it still sits near its old range. That can be read as undervaluation — or as the market’s way of saying the story is still not compelling enough. Second, a lot of “institutional adoption” language sounds better on a slide deck than it does in real usage. Active utility is great. Actual transaction volume is better. Without meaningful usage, the narrative risks becoming another polished crypto bedtime story.
Third, ETF inclusion is not magic. Just because an asset appears on a draft list does not mean capital will flood in like it’s Black Friday at a discount exchange. If flows are weak, the market will notice quickly. And if Bitcoin dominance picks up again, altcoins like XRP can get drained of liquidity fast. Crypto has a nasty habit of rewarding patience only after punishing it first.
Near term, the price levels are refreshingly clear. $1.10 is the key support. $1.20 is the first resistance wall. A clean move above $1.20 could open the door to $1.25–$1.30, especially if volume starts rising. If XRP loses $1.10, then $1.05 and $1.00 come back into play. The strongest bullish signal would be a daily close above $1.20 with rising volume. Until that happens, this is a promising setup, not a victory lap.
There’s also a simple truth here that gets lost in a lot of XRP discourse: a token can have a real ecosystem and still underperform for long stretches. That does not automatically make it dead. It also does not make every bullish chart fantasy credible. The real question is whether XRP can convert ecosystem growth into durable demand. That’s where the rubber meets the road, and where a lot of crypto narratives quietly collapse under their own weight.
Key takeaways and questions:
-
Why is XRP getting attention again?
XRP is trading around $1.18, close to its 2018 price zone, and some traders see that as a long-term accumulation opportunity. -
What do support and resistance mean for XRP?
Support is where buyers tend to defend price, while resistance is where sellers often step in. For XRP, the key levels are $1.10 support and $1.20 resistance. -
Why are some traders calling this a “second chance”?
A monthly chart suggests XRP is sitting on a long-term rising trend line that has historically preceded major moves, making the current zone look attractive to long-term believers. -
What could push XRP higher?
A break above $1.20, stronger trading volume, ETF-related interest, Ripple ecosystem growth, and more visible XRP utility could all help. -
What could send XRP lower?
A loss of $1.10, weak market sentiment, poor ETF inflows, or broader crypto weakness could drag XRP toward $1.05 and then $1.00. -
Does ETF approval guarantee a pump?
No. It improves access and legitimacy, but capital still has to show up. The market does not hand out free lunches, even when the paperwork gets approved. -
Is XRP’s long-term upside real or just hype?
It’s a real thesis, but not a sure thing. The long-range $10–$18 projection is speculative and depends on technical strength plus actual adoption. -
Why does Ripple’s business matter to XRP holders?
Ripple’s growth can strengthen the broader ecosystem, especially if it drives more real-world utility for XRP, but business success does not automatically equal token gains.
XRP has a technically interesting setup, a stronger ecosystem than it used to have, and a few fresh catalysts that make the bullish case harder to dismiss outright. But the market still needs proof. If price can reclaim $1.20 with conviction, the bulls get something real to work with. If not, the market may be reminding everyone that a “second chance” is not the same thing as a free ride.